Xelaju MC 7-2 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Feb 2025

📅03/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 18%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.88/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.74
+3% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Xinabajul
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 2-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
29.02.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
02.02.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 2-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
18.09.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-0 HT 1-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
13.08.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
09.04.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xelaju MC
7-2
AWAY Xinabajul
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC swept aside Xinabajul 7-2. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Xelaju MC had 66% of the ball to Xinabajul's 34%, shots finished 19-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Xelaju MC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Xelaju MC and 0.50 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul?

Xelaju MC 7-2 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 03/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 55%, draw 24%, Xinabajul 20%. The final score 7-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
3 Feb 2025
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