Jong Almere City 1-3 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+3.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.2pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.99/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.72
+6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
279 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
2W-1D-0L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 2-1 HT 1-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
05.10.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City HOLTW
17.02.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-0 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Almere City
1-3
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg beat Jong Almere City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Almere City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Jong Almere City had 44% of the ball to HHC Hardenberg's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jong Almere City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jong Almere City and 0.33 for HHC Hardenberg.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs HHC Hardenberg?

Jong Almere City 1-3 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 51%, draw 23%, HHC Hardenberg 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Almere City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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