Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 31%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.20/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.20
-42% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
12.10.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 3-1 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
30.03.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
2-1
AWAY Jong Sparta
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC nicked a narrow win over Jong Sparta 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Koninklijke HFC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 47% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 53%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 1.33 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta?

Koninklijke HFC 2-1 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 44%, draw 27%, Jong Sparta 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koninklijke HFC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
16 Aug 2025
15:30 BVV Barendrecht vs GVVV Analysis →
15:30 Rijnsburgse Boys vs Excelsior Maassluis Analysis →
16:00 SV Spakenburg vs ACV Analysis →
16:00 Kozakken Boys vs Ijsselmeervogels Analysis →
16:15 AFC Amsterdamsche vs Quick Boys Analysis →
16:30 Jong Almere City vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →