Jong Sparta 3-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.5pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 42%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.53/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.00
-63% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.03.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
3-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Sparta saw off Koninklijke HFC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Jong Sparta made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 52% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs Koninklijke HFC?

Jong Sparta 3-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 40%, draw 23%, Koninklijke HFC 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Sparta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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