Koninklijke HFC 1-0 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.03/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/2.28
-44% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jong Sparta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 3-1 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
30.03.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 1-1 HT 0-0 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1-0
AWAY Jong Sparta
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC squeezed past Jong Sparta 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Koninklijke HFC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 52% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 48%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jong Sparta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 2.00 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta?

Koninklijke HFC 1-0 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 42%, draw 25%, Jong Sparta 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koninklijke HFC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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