ACV 1-6 Noordwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
37%
3.18
Away
26%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
27%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
37%
Draw
28%
+8.5pp
26%
Away Win
36%
-10.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACV EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.86/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/2.00
-41% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACV
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Noordwijk
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 1-2 HT 0-1 ACV HOLTW
17.02.2024 Noordwijk Noordwijk 2-3 HT 2-0 ACV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACV
1-6
AWAY Noordwijk
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ACV vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Noordwijk swept aside ACV 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 37% / 26%) promised a tight game; Noordwijk found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACV had 53% of the ball to Noordwijk's 47%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, ACV had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ACV and 1.50 for Noordwijk.

What was the final score of ACV vs Noordwijk?

ACV 1-6 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACV vs Noordwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split ACV 37%, draw 37%, Noordwijk 26%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/37/26) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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