Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.4pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.02/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.65/1.56
-29% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% / -26%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jong Almere City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12.10.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 1-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
27.01.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 2-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0-2
AWAY Jong Almere City
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City saw off Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jong Almere City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 48% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 52%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jong Almere City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.50 for Jong Almere City.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Almere City?

Excelsior Maassluis 0-2 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 34%, draw 18%, Jong Almere City 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Almere City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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