Jong Almere City 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.43
No
29%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
71%
BTTS Yes
66%
+5.2pp
29%
BTTS No
34%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 23%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.98
-4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
410 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Almere City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.01.2024 Jong Almere City Jong Almere City 2-1 HT 2-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City and Excelsior Maassluis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Almere City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (71%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Jong Almere City 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 52%, draw 25%, Excelsior Maassluis 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Almere City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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