Jong Almere City 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.2pp
32%
Draw
21%
+11.8pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City edged past Excelsior Maassluis 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jong Almere City as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Jong Almere City 2-1 Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Almere City vs Excelsior Maassluis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jong Almere City 46%, draw 32%, Excelsior Maassluis 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Almere City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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