SV Spakenburg 2-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.6pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 20%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
2.65/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+94% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
259 Passes 156
69% Pass Accuracy 56%
18 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2017 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
2-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg edged past Koninklijke HFC 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 57% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 43%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC?

SV Spakenburg 2-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 53%, draw 28%, Koninklijke HFC 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✗ Under 2.5
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