Noordwijk 0-1 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
54%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.7pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 54%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.50
+80% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +122%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Katwijk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.07 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
207 Passes 285
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 3-2 HT 2-2 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Noordwijk
0-1
AWAY Katwijk
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk nicked a narrow win over Noordwijk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Katwijk as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Noordwijk had 51% of the ball to Katwijk's 49%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs Katwijk?

Noordwijk 0-1 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 23%, draw 23%, Katwijk 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katwijk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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