BVV Barendrecht 2-2 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
34%
3.94
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
47%
-11.5pp
34%
Draw
22%
+11.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.4pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 34%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
3.45/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.00
+100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +69%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BVV Barendrecht
0W-0D-2L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.74 xG 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 9
195 Passes 278
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.10.2024 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 4-1 HT 3-1 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
25.08.2018 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht and SV Spakenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BVV Barendrecht and 2.50 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs SV Spakenburg?

BVV Barendrecht 2-2 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a BVV Barendrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 36%, draw 34%, SV Spakenburg 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BVV Barendrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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