Diosgyor 2-2 Kazincbarcika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.07
Over 2.5
59%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
2.92
6+ Goals
9%
9.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazincbarcika EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-1% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.2 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Kazincbarcika
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.09.2024 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 2-4 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MACK
26.02.2023 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika 1-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC2
28.08.2022 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika MAC2
30.06.2018 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-2 HT 0-2 Kazincbarcika Kazincbarcika HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
2-2
AWAY Kazincbarcika
1.99 xG 1.39
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
374 Passes 174
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Kazincbarcika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor and Kazincbarcika couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Diosgyor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Diosgyor had 66% of the ball to Kazincbarcika's 34%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.99 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Diosgyor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Diosgyor and 1.25 for Kazincbarcika.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Kazincbarcika?

Diosgyor 2-2 Kazincbarcika in the Hungary - NB I on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Kazincbarcika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 42%, draw 25%, Kazincbarcika 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Diosgyor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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