Ferencvaros 1-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
13%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.4pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.55/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.65
-5% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
25.2 Crosses 31.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 0.97
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
421 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2025 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
09.02.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
29.09.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
17.03.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
01.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 4-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-2
AWAY Puskas FC
2.26 xG 0.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
389 Passes 187
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
34 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over Ferencvaros 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ferencvaros at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 64% of the ball to Puskas FC's 36%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.26 to 0.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ferencvaros.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.17 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Ferencvaros 1-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 58%, draw 21%, Puskas FC 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferencvaros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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