Ferencvaros 3-0 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.17/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.65
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
41.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
26.5 Crosses 31.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.18 xG 1.21
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
425 Passes 170
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
42 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
17.03.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
01.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 4-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
13.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
12.03.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
22.10.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-4 HT 2-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
3-0
AWAY Puskas FC
1.07 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
358 Passes 308
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros ran out comfortable winners over Puskas FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 52% of the ball to Puskas FC's 48%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.07 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.83 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Ferencvaros 3-0 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 52%, draw 26%, Puskas FC 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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