Ferencvaros 1-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
2.16/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.27
+23% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
38.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.1 Crosses 26.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.23 xG 1.17
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
431 Passes 194
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
37 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
26.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
01.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 4-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
13.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
12.03.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
22.10.2022 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-4 HT 2-3 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
31.07.2022 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-1
AWAY Puskas FC
2.06 xG 1.30
72% Ball Possession 28%
23 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
414 Passes 120
82% Pass Accuracy 61%
52 Box Touches 25
41 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros and Puskas FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 72% of the ball to Puskas FC's 28%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 2.06 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.67 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Ferencvaros 1-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 52%, draw 22%, Puskas FC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ferencvaros), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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