Debrecen 5-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.98/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
+18% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
32.9 Crosses 14.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.53 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
409 Passes 232
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
13.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
23.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
28.01.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 3-0 HT 2-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
30.08.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 4-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
02.04.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 0-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
5-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
3.37 xG 0.49
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
461 Passes 235
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen swept aside Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Debrecen had 62% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 38%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 3.37 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Debrecen and 0.83 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Debrecen 5-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 50%, draw 24%, Zalaegerszegi TE 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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