Puskas FC 1-0 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.33/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.11
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ferencvaros
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.90
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
204 Passes 408
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 37
15 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
17.03.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
01.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 4-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
13.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
12.03.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
1-0
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.95 xG 2.39
30% Ball Possession 70%
14 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 11
147 Passes 458
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 48
12 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC squeezed past Ferencvaros 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Puskas FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Puskas FC had 30% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 70%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 0.95 to 2.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ferencvaros.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Puskas FC and 1.83 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs Ferencvaros?

Puskas FC 1-0 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 35%, draw 26%, Ferencvaros 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ferencvaros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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