Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.37/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.53
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
16.6 Crosses 20.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.95 xG 1.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
240 Passes 430
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
30.03.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
27.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-2 HT 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MACK
03.12.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-3 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
18.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-3 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.04.2021 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
2-1
AWAY Diosgyor
1.39 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
383 Passes 216
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE nicked a narrow win over Diosgyor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zalaegerszegi TE as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 60% of the ball to Diosgyor's 40%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.67 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Diosgyor?

Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 41%, draw 27%, Diosgyor 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✓ BTTS Yes
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