Diosgyor 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.63
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.08/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.23
+2% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
21.3 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.36 xG 1.97
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
496 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
27.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-2 HT 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MACK
03.12.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-3 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
18.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-3 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.04.2021 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
19.12.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-3 HT 0-2 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
2-1
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
0.86 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
230 Passes 307
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Diosgyor squeezed past Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Diosgyor as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Diosgyor had 46% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 54%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.86 to 1.90 — on chances, Zalaegerszegi TE could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Diosgyor and 2.67 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Diosgyor 2-1 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 45%, draw 26%, Zalaegerszegi TE 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Diosgyor) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
28 Sep 2024
18:00 Kecskemeti TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Analysis →
20:30 Debrecen vs MTK Budapest Analysis →