Kecskemeti TE 0-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 32% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus EU Bookmakers 36%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.52/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/2.09
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -89% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.3 Crosses 23.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2024 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-1 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MACK
06.04.2022 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-2 HT 1-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC2
17.10.2021 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-0 HT 0-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC2
17.04.2015 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1-1 HT 0-1 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
27.09.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-0 HT 1-0 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Nyiregyhaza Spartacus MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
0-2
AWAY Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
1.73 xG 1.44
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 3
368 Passes 164
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
34 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 14
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus got the better of Kecskemeti TE 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kecskemeti TE at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 62% of the ball to Nyiregyhaza Spartacus's 38%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 1.73 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.00 for Nyiregyhaza Spartacus.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Kecskemeti TE 0-2 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus in the Hungary - NB I on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kecskemeti TE win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 45%, draw 27%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kecskemeti TE) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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