Debrecen vs MTK Budapest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Debrecen v MTK Budapest — Team-Based Signals
Debrecen vs MTK Budapest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Debrecen
MAC
1-3
HT 1-2
MTK Budapest
MAC
3-0
HT 1-0
Debrecen
MAC
1-0
HT 1-0
MTK Budapest
MAC
1-1
HT 1-0
Debrecen
MAC
Debrecen 2-3 MTK Budapest — Actual Match Statistics
MTK Budapest nicked a narrow win over Debrecen 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Debrecen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Debrecen had 44% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 56%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.08 to 1.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Debrecen and 1.83 for MTK Budapest.
What was the final score of Debrecen vs MTK Budapest?
Debrecen 2-3 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Debrecen vs MTK Budapest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 46%, draw 26%, MTK Budapest 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.