Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.20/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.06
+3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.5 Crosses 25.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.85
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
222 Passes 480
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-2 HT 3-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MACK
03.12.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-3 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
18.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-3 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
03.04.2021 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
19.12.2020 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-3 HT 0-2 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.09.2020 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 3-1 HT 2-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
5-1
AWAY Diosgyor
4.16 xG 0.38
31% Ball Possession 69%
19 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
208 Passes 529
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE swept aside Diosgyor 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Zalaegerszegi TE found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 31% of the ball to Diosgyor's 69%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 4.16 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalaegerszegi TE had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.50 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs Diosgyor?

Zalaegerszegi TE 5-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 40%, draw 26%, Diosgyor 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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