MTK Budapest 2-2 Kecskemeti TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.36/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.49
-28% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
14.1 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
220 Passes 336
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 1-2 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.08.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
02.05.2015 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
18.10.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 0-1 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
19.04.2014 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 3-0 HT 2-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.12.2013 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MACK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
2-2
AWAY Kecskemeti TE
2.85 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
339 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest and Kecskemeti TE couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 54% of the ball to Kecskemeti TE's 46%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.85 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for MTK Budapest and 0.67 for Kecskemeti TE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE?

MTK Budapest 2-2 Kecskemeti TE in the Hungary - NB I on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 42%, draw 26%, Kecskemeti TE 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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