Kisvarda 1-3 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 30 Mar 2024

Kisvarda
1-3 HT 1-1
Debrecen
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2023/2024

Kisvarda vs Debrecen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
10%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kisvarda v Debrecen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.32/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.08
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
25.9 Crosses 21.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Kisvarda vs Debrecen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Debrecen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.65 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 451
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
21.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 4-1 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
11.03.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
24.10.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 2-3 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
31.07.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
23.04.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC

Kisvarda 1-3 Debrecen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
1-3
AWAY Debrecen
0.57 xG 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
316 Passes 414
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen got the better of Kisvarda 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Debrecen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kisvarda had 45% of the ball to Debrecen's 55%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.57 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kisvarda and 1.50 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Debrecen?

Kisvarda 1-3 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 33%, draw 32%, Debrecen 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MAC More Hungary - NB I
30 Mar 2024
19:00 MTK Budapest vs Kecskemeti TE Analysis →
21:30 Zalaegerszegi TE vs Diosgyor Analysis →