Ferencvaros 1-1 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
1.47/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.65
-1% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
25.3 Crosses 31.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferencvaros
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.00 xG 1.05
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
418 Passes 193
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
39 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.02.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
29.09.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 3-0 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
17.03.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
26.11.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
01.11.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 4-3 HT 1-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MACK
13.08.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ferencvaros
1-1
AWAY Puskas FC
1.74 xG 0.95
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
428 Passes 215
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
45 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros and Puskas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ferencvaros at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Ferencvaros had 63% of the ball to Puskas FC's 37%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.74 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ferencvaros and 1.33 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Ferencvaros 1-1 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferencvaros vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ferencvaros 50%, draw 26%, Puskas FC 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ Over 2.5
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