Ujpest 2-3 Györi ETO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.99
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
9%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ujpest EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Györi ETO EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.62/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.16
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
16.9 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ujpest
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Györi ETO
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.29 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
267 Passes 268
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Györi ETO Györi ETO 3-0 HT 2-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
27.09.2024 Ujpest Ujpest 0-0 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
05.07.2019 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-0 HT 1-0 Ujpest Ujpest HAZ
31.10.2018 Györi ETO Györi ETO 2-2 HT 0-1 Ujpest Ujpest MACK
03.05.2015 Ujpest Ujpest 1-0 HT 0-0 Györi ETO Györi ETO MAC
19.10.2014 Györi ETO Györi ETO 0-0 HT 0-0 Ujpest Ujpest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ujpest
2-3
AWAY Györi ETO
2.66 xG 2.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
300 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ujpest vs Györi ETO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Györi ETO edged past Ujpest 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Györi ETO made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ujpest had 51% of the ball to Györi ETO's 49%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.66 to 2.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Györi ETO led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ujpest and 1.17 for Györi ETO.

What was the final score of Ujpest vs Györi ETO?

Ujpest 2-3 Györi ETO in the Hungary - NB I on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ujpest vs Györi ETO?

Before kick-off our model rated an Györi ETO win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ujpest 35%, draw 28%, Györi ETO 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Györi ETO), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Györi ETO) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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