Debrecen 0-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.77
6+ Goals
15%
7.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-9.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
1.74/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.51
+24% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
26.4 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.24 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
438 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
28.09.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 2-3 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
06.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
09.12.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-3 HT 1-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
15.05.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
0-0
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.34 xG 1.61
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
247 Passes 358
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen and MTK Budapest played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Debrecen had 44% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 56%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.34 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Debrecen and 2.17 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs MTK Budapest?

Debrecen 0-0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 39%, draw 26%, MTK Budapest 35%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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