MTK Budapest 0-2 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 7 Feb 2025

MTK Budapest
0-2 HT 0-1
Debrecen
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Hungary - NB I – 2024/2025

MTK Budapest vs Debrecen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 27% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MTK Budapest v Debrecen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.87/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.76
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
16.5 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

MTK Budapest vs Debrecen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Debrecen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
249 Passes 474
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 2-3 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
06.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
09.12.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-3 HT 1-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
15.05.2022 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.02.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC

MTK Budapest 0-2 Debrecen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
0-2
AWAY Debrecen
1.12 xG 1.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
376 Passes 292
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen got the better of MTK Budapest 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was MTK Budapest at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 56% of the ball to Debrecen's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.12 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.00 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Debrecen?

MTK Budapest 0-2 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 47%, draw 30%, Debrecen 23%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MTK Budapest) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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