Chayka 1-2 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.24
+24% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
221 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Shinnik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
15.09.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-2 HT 2-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
27.02.2021 Chayka Chayka 5-1 HT 4-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
05.09.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
12.10.2019 Shinnik Shinnik 2-3 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
1-2
AWAY Shinnik
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik squeezed past Chayka 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shinnik found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chayka had 52% of the ball to Shinnik's 48%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chayka had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chayka and 1.00 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Shinnik?

Chayka 1-2 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Chayka 34%, draw 32%, Shinnik 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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