Chayka 2-2 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chayka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.70/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.18
+31% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chayka
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Shinnik
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 7
27.02.2021 Chayka Chayka 5-1 HT 4-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
05.09.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 0-0 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
12.10.2019 Shinnik Shinnik 2-3 HT 1-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chayka
2-2
AWAY Shinnik
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chayka vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chayka and Shinnik shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chayka had 53% of the ball to Shinnik's 47%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chayka had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Chayka and 1.00 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Chayka vs Shinnik?

Chayka 2-2 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chayka vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chayka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chayka 37%, draw 28%, Shinnik 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chayka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
15 Sep 2024
12:00 FK Ufa vs FK Rodina Moskva Analysis →
15:00 Tyumen vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
15:00 SKA Khabarovsk vs Neftekhimik Analysis →