FK Ufa 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Sep 2024

FK Ufa
2-0 HT 1-0
FK Rodina Moskva
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - FNL – 2024/2025

FK Ufa vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Ufa v FK Rodina Moskva — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 42%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
0.89/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.80
-15% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

FK Ufa vs FK Rodina Moskva Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Ufa
0W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
07.05.2023 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
16.10.2022 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1

FK Ufa 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Ufa
2-0
AWAY FK Rodina Moskva
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Ufa vs FK Rodina Moskva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa got the better of FK Rodina Moskva 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; FK Ufa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Ufa had 36% of the ball to FK Rodina Moskva's 64%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Ufa and 1.50 for FK Rodina Moskva.

What was the final score of FK Ufa vs FK Rodina Moskva?

FK Ufa 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs FK Rodina Moskva?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 34%, draw 30%, FK Rodina Moskva 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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