Tyumen 0-1 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.91/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.83
-31% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 2-1 HT 2-1 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
05.11.2023 Tyumen Tyumen 2-0 HT 0-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
0-1
AWAY Sokol Saratov
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov squeezed past Tyumen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tyumen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Tyumen had 58% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 42%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tyumen and 1.00 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Sokol Saratov?

Tyumen 0-1 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 43%, draw 31%, Sokol Saratov 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tyumen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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