16/08/2025
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Krsko vs Jesenice Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
26%
27%
Away Win
28%
46%
Under 2.5
44%
54%
Over 2.5
56%
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
44%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Krsko v Jesenice — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Krsko
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jesenice
EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% /
+42%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+80%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
323 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
328 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Krsko vs Jesenice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jesenice cruised past Krsko 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Krsko at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Krsko vs Jesenice?
Krsko 0-4 Jesenice in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Krsko vs Jesenice?
Before kick-off our model rated a Krsko win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Krsko 46%, draw 27%, Jesenice 27%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Krsko), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Krsko)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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