Gorica 1-2 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
55%
+3.6pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
2.13/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.40
+26% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 2-4 HT 1-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
05.10.2024 Gorica Gorica 2-1 HT 2-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
09.03.2024 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 0-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
19.08.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
18.04.2022 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jadran Dekani nicked a narrow win over Gorica 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gorica at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Gorica and 0.80 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Jadran Dekani?

Gorica 1-2 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gorica 58%, draw 20%, Jadran Dekani 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gorica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN2 More Slovenia - 2.SNL
16 Aug 2025
18:30 Krsko vs Jesenice Analysis →
18:30 Dravinja vs Tabor Sezana Analysis →
18:30 Ilirija vs NK Brinje Analysis →