Gorica 2-1 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
62%
-10.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
2.22/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.29
+32% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 0-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
19.08.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
18.04.2022 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
2-1
AWAY Jadran Dekani
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica squeezed past Jadran Dekani 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gorica had 54% of the ball to Jadran Dekani's 46%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gorica and 0.33 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Jadran Dekani?

Gorica 2-1 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gorica 52%, draw 22%, Jadran Dekani 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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