Gorica 1-1 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.33
Draw
30%
4.49
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.1pp
30%
Draw
19%
+10.6pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.0pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.87/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.23
-6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +60%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
18.04.2022 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica and Jadran Dekani shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gorica at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gorica and 0.00 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Jadran Dekani?

Gorica 1-1 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gorica 52%, draw 30%, Jadran Dekani 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gorica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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