Triglav 2-0 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 27%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.97/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.66
+95% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tolmin
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.08.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 0-4 HT 0-2 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
2-0
AWAY Tolmin
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav beat Tolmin 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Triglav had 53% of the ball to Tolmin's 47%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Tolmin?

Triglav 2-0 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Triglav 44%, draw 27%, Tolmin 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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