Bistrica 3-0 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bistrica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
2.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.42
+43% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bistrica
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Krka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
12.03.2023 Bistrica Bistrica 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
26.08.2022 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bistrica
3-0
AWAY Krka
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bistrica vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bistrica swept aside Krka 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Bistrica made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bistrica had 48% of the ball to Krka's 52%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Krka led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bistrica and 1.00 for Krka.

What was the final score of Bistrica vs Krka?

Bistrica 3-0 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bistrica vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bistrica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bistrica 39%, draw 30%, Krka 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bistrica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bistrica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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