Beltinci 2-0 Tolmin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beltinci EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Tolmin EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.92/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.26
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beltinci
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Tolmin
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Tolmin Tolmin 1-2 HT 1-0 Beltinci Beltinci SLVN2
12.08.2023 Beltinci Beltinci 3-1 HT 2-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beltinci
2-0
AWAY Tolmin
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beltinci vs Tolmin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beltinci got the better of Tolmin 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Beltinci as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Beltinci had 55% of the ball to Tolmin's 45%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beltinci had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Beltinci and 1.00 for Tolmin.

What was the final score of Beltinci vs Tolmin?

Beltinci 2-0 Tolmin in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beltinci vs Tolmin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beltinci win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Beltinci 56%, draw 22%, Tolmin 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beltinci) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beltinci) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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