Jadran Dekani 2-4 Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 18 Apr 2025

Jadran Dekani
2-4 HT 1-0
Gorica
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

Jadran Dekani vs Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
48%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
48%
Away Win
55%
-7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jadran Dekani v Gorica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Gorica EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
0.95/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.78
-3% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Jadran Dekani vs Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jadran Dekani
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Gorica
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Gorica Gorica 2-1 HT 2-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
09.03.2024 Gorica Gorica 1-1 HT 0-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
19.08.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
18.04.2022 Gorica Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
POST-MATCH Jadran Dekani vs Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica got the better of Jadran Dekani 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gorica led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Jadran Dekani and 1.00 for Gorica.

What was the final score of Jadran Dekani vs Gorica?

Jadran Dekani 2-4 Gorica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jadran Dekani vs Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Jadran Dekani 26%, draw 26%, Gorica 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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