ND Slovan Ljubljana 0-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.74/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.89
-33% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
246 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aluminij
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 0
04.10.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 2-0 HT 1-0 ND Slovan Ljubljana SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Slovan Ljubljana
0-1
AWAY Aluminij
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij squeezed past ND Slovan Ljubljana 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ND Slovan Ljubljana had 51% of the ball to Aluminij's 49%, shots finished 4-10.

What was the final score of ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

ND Slovan Ljubljana 0-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Slovan Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ND Slovan Ljubljana 31%, draw 26%, Aluminij 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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