Oleksandria 1-4 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.21/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.24
+3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
309 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
55% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
15.04.2023 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
27.02.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-3 HT 1-2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
05.11.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 2-0 HT 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oleksandria
1-4
AWAY Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
50% Ball Possession 50%
2 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv cruised past Oleksandria 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Oleksandria at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oleksandria had 50% of the ball to Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's 50%, shots finished 2-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oleksandria had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oleksandria and 0.75 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Oleksandria 1-4 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 43%, draw 26%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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