Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
0.91/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.33
-17% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
17.05.2025 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 HT 0-1 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
22.11.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
29.02.2020 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
28.09.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-2 HT 1-2 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
1-1
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka and Karpaty Lviv couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kolos Kovalivka had 43% of the ball to Karpaty Lviv's 57%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kolos Kovalivka had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 1.00 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv?

Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolos Kovalivka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 38%, draw 30%, Karpaty Lviv 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kolos Kovalivka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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