Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
0.75/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.47
-27% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-0 HT 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
29.02.2020 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 HT 2-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKR
28.09.2019 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 1-2 HT 1-2 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
2-1
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka squeezed past Karpaty Lviv 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 37% / 35% — and on the day Kolos Kovalivka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kolos Kovalivka had 47% of the ball to Karpaty Lviv's 53%, shots finished 5-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kolos Kovalivka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 1.00 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv?

Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 28%, draw 37%, Karpaty Lviv 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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