Kryvbas KR 1-0 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -13%
1.49/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.51
-10% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kryvbas KR
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
24.11.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-1 HT 0-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
09.03.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 1-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
28.08.2023 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 0-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
POST-MATCH Kryvbas KR vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kryvbas KR edged past Obolon Kyiv 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kryvbas KR as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kryvbas KR had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kryvbas KR and 0.00 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Kryvbas KR vs Obolon Kyiv?

Kryvbas KR 1-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kryvbas KR vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kryvbas KR win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kryvbas KR 45%, draw 28%, Obolon Kyiv 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kryvbas KR), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kryvbas KR) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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