Zorya Luhansk 0-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.75
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
23%
-5.8pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 54%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.90/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.72
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zorya Luhansk
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Polessya
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.11.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
05.05.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
28.10.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zorya Luhansk
0-1
AWAY Polessya
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya nicked a narrow win over Zorya Luhansk 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zorya Luhansk had 48% of the ball to Polessya's 52%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Polessya led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zorya Luhansk and 1.00 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?

Zorya Luhansk 0-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zorya Luhansk vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zorya Luhansk 18%, draw 34%, Polessya 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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