Polessya 1-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

Polessya
1-1 HT 0-0
Zorya Luhansk
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ukraine - Premier League – 2024/2025

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polessya v Zorya Luhansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.65/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.72
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards –

Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
28.10.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-1 HT 0-1 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and Zorya Luhansk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Polessya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polessya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polessya and 0.50 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Polessya 1-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Polessya 47%, draw 30%, Zorya Luhansk 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Polessya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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