Guayaquil City 2-2 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.71
Over
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No Pick
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
40%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guayaquil City The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad The Market 27%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
0.99 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.00
0.69 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.83
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
13.4 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guayaquil City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Libertad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
362 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2026 Libertad Libertad 0-1 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
10.10.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
06.05.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guayaquil City
2-2
AWAY Libertad
1.86 xG 1.34
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
538 Passes 244
25 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Guayaquil City vs Libertad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Guayaquil City and Libertad finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

A gentle 49% lean on Guayaquil City didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.86 to 1.34.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Guayaquil City against 0.67 for Libertad.

Guayaquil City vs Libertad Result & Final Score

Guayaquil City 2-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Guayaquil City vs Libertad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Guayaquil City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Guayaquil City 49%, draw 27%, Libertad 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guayaquil City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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