Guayaquil City 2-2 Libertad (Ekvador) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 16 Aug 2026

Guayaquil City
2 - 2 HT 0 - 2
Libertad (Ekvador)
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Guayaquil City vs Libertad (Ekvador) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.71
Over
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Guayaquil City v Libertad (Ekvador) — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Guayaquil City The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad (Ekvador) The Market 27%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.20
0.76 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.63
Bad Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Weak
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 76%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Guayaquil City vs Libertad (Ekvador) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guayaquil City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Libertad (Ekvador)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.90 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
362 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2026 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 0-1 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
10.10.2023 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) 1-0 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
06.05.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad (Ekvador) Libertad (Ekvador) EKV1
REVIEW Guayaquil City vs Libertad (Ekvador)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Guayaquil City and Libertad (Ekvador) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We leaned Guayaquil City at 50% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guayaquil City and 0.67 for Libertad (Ekvador).

Guayaquil City vs Libertad (Ekvador) Result & Final Score

Guayaquil City 2 - 2 Libertad (Ekvador) in the Ecuador - Premier on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Guayaquil City vs Libertad (Ekvador) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Guayaquil City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Guayaquil City 50%, draw 28%, Libertad (Ekvador) 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guayaquil City) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
16 Aug 2026
03:00 Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC Analysis →
22:00 Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca Analysis →